For those in Sydney or able to get there in early July, I will be presenting on the results, findings and workings of the AIPIO Collective Forecasting Competition at the Sydney Users of R Forum On Tue July 10.

The AIPIO is of course the Australian Institute of Professional Intelligence Officers. They have hosted a number of A1 related presentations in the past, and are a natural friend of A1, given our principle of The Intelligence Model of Analytics.

Collective forecasting and related methods such as Prediction Markets, working as they do on the aggregated tacit data of human beings, are truly “Analyst First” analytics techniques, with human beings adopting the traditional roles of algorithms and electronic data. Collective Forecating is also the only tool consistently appropriate for the most important decisions made in businesses. These tend to be one-off, data poor and often based largely on human-held tacit knowledge.
Big claims? Come along and argue if you happen to be around.

The AIPIO Collective Forecasting Competiton also begins its new round.
All are invited to participate by registering and entering predictions, or by suggesting additional events to forecast.

The months of July and August will involve a number of other Analyst First related events, including:

The long anticipated launch of regular public Analyst First events in Canberra, with thanks to BAE Systems for providing the venue, as they kindly do for monthly A1 ACT chapter Leadership Group meetings.

A Sydney presentation of the AIPIO CFC results, learnings and application of collective forecating to Intelligence and strategic decision support at the AIPIO’s annual conference in Sydney

A presentation of the Analyst First vision in Wellington, New Zealand at the annual conference of the New Zealand Institute of Intelligence Professionals (NZIIP)

Regular Analyst First Leadership Group meetings in Melbourne, Canberra and Sydney. Those interested in being involved in chapter leadership groups please contact me or the other Chaoter heads: Graham Williams in Canberra, Yuval Marom and Tony Laing in Melbourne, and Kevin Gray in Tokyo.

Also forthcoming are a number of expansions of the website, and the creation of new content including a charter of A1 principles, and a list of subscribing A1 practitioners. A number of other initiatives in the works too rhanks to good work by Canberra Chapter Leadership Group.